financial-modeling

Build integrated financial models with 3-statement projections. Create income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow models with proper linkages.

INSTALLATION
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SKILL.md

Financial Modeling Skill

Overview

I help you build integrated 3-statement financial models that link Income Statement, Balance Sheet, and Cash Flow Statement. These models are essential for valuation, budgeting, and strategic planning.

What I can do:

  • Build income statement projections
  • Create balance sheet forecasts
  • Generate cash flow statements
  • Model working capital requirements
  • Build debt schedules and interest calculations
  • Create scenario analysis (base/bull/bear cases)

What I cannot do:

  • Access real-time financial data
  • Guarantee projection accuracy
  • Provide accounting advice
  • Replace professional financial analysis

How to Use Me

Step 1: Provide Historical Data

I need 2-3 years of:

  • Income statement (revenue, COGS, operating expenses)
  • Balance sheet (assets, liabilities, equity)
  • Cash flow statement (optional but helpful)

Step 2: Define Projection Assumptions

Key drivers:

  • Revenue growth rate
  • Gross margin
  • Operating expense ratios
  • Capex as % of revenue
  • Working capital days (DSO, DIO, DPO)

Step 3: Choose Model Scope

  • Basic: Income statement only
  • Standard: Income statement + balance sheet
  • Full: Complete 3-statement model with cash flow

Model Architecture

Three-Statement Linkages

┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐

│                    INCOME STATEMENT                         │

│  Revenue → Gross Profit → Operating Income → Net Income     │

└─────────────────────────┬───────────────────────────────────┘

                          │

        Net Income flows to Retained Earnings

                          │

                          ▼

┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐

│                    BALANCE SHEET                            │

│  Assets = Liabilities + Equity                              │

│  (Must balance via Cash as plug)                            │

└─────────────────────────┬───────────────────────────────────┘

                          │

        Changes in B/S items drive CF Statement

                          │

                          ▼

┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐

│                  CASH FLOW STATEMENT                        │

│  Operating CF + Investing CF + Financing CF = Δ Cash        │

│  Ending Cash flows back to Balance Sheet                    │

└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

Key Formulas

#### Income Statement Drivers

Revenue = Prior Year × (1 + Growth Rate)

COGS = Revenue × (1 - Gross Margin %)

Gross Profit = Revenue - COGS

SG&A = Revenue × SG&A %

EBITDA = Gross Profit - SG&A

D&A = Prior PP&E × D&A Rate OR Revenue × D&A %

EBIT = EBITDA - D&A

Interest = Avg Debt × Interest Rate

EBT = EBIT - Interest

Taxes = EBT × Tax Rate

Net Income = EBT - Taxes

#### Balance Sheet Drivers

Accounts Receivable = Revenue × (DSO / 365)

Inventory = COGS × (DIO / 365)

Accounts Payable = COGS × (DPO / 365)

PP&E = Prior PP&E + Capex - D&A

Retained Earnings = Prior RE + Net Income - Dividends

Cash = Total Liabilities + Equity - Other Assets (plug)

#### Cash Flow Statement

Operating Cash Flow:

  Net Income

  + D&A (non-cash)

  - Increase in AR

  - Increase in Inventory

  + Increase in AP

  = Cash from Operations

Investing Cash Flow:

  - Capex

  = Cash from Investing

Financing Cash Flow:

  + Debt Issuance

  - Debt Repayment

  - Dividends

  = Cash from Financing

Net Change in Cash = CFO + CFI + CFF

Output Format

# Financial Model: [Company Name]

**Projection Period**: [Years]

**Base Year**: [Year]

**Currency**: [USD/CNY/etc.]

---

## Key Assumptions

| Driver | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 |

|--------|--------|--------|--------|--------|--------|

| Revenue Growth | XX% | XX% | XX% | XX% | XX% |

| Gross Margin | XX% | XX% | XX% | XX% | XX% |

| SG&A % Revenue | XX% | XX% | XX% | XX% | XX% |

| Capex % Revenue | XX% | XX% | XX% | XX% | XX% |

| DSO (days) | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |

| DIO (days) | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |

| DPO (days) | XX | XX | XX | XX | XX |

---

## Income Statement Projection

| ($M) | Base | Y1 | Y2 | Y3 | Y4 | Y5 |

|------|------|-----|-----|-----|-----|-----|

| **Revenue** | | | | | | |

| Growth % | | | | | | |

| COGS | | | | | | |

| **Gross Profit** | | | | | | |

| Gross Margin % | | | | | | |

| SG&A | | | | | | |

| **EBITDA** | | | | | | |

| EBITDA Margin % | | | | | | |

| D&A | | | | | | |

| **EBIT** | | | | | | |

| Interest Expense | | | | | | |

| **EBT** | | | | | | |

| Taxes | | | | | | |

| **Net Income** | | | | | | |

| Net Margin % | | | | | | |

---

## Balance Sheet Projection

| ($M) | Base | Y1 | Y2 | Y3 | Y4 | Y5 |

|------|------|-----|-----|-----|-----|-----|

| **ASSETS** | | | | | | |

| Cash | | | | | | |

| Accounts Receivable | | | | | | |

| Inventory | | | | | | |

| **Current Assets** | | | | | | |

| PP&E (net) | | | | | | |

| Other Assets | | | | | | |

| **Total Assets** | | | | | | |

| | | | | | | |

| **LIABILITIES** | | | | | | |

| Accounts Payable | | | | | | |

| Short-term Debt | | | | | | |

| **Current Liabilities** | | | | | | |

| Long-term Debt | | | | | | |

| **Total Liabilities** | | | | | | |

| | | | | | | |

| **EQUITY** | | | | | | |

| Common Stock | | | | | | |

| Retained Earnings | | | | | | |

| **Total Equity** | | | | | | |

| **Total L + E** | | | | | | |

✓ Balance Check: Assets = Liabilities + Equity

---

## Cash Flow Statement

| ($M) | Y1 | Y2 | Y3 | Y4 | Y5 |

|------|-----|-----|-----|-----|-----|

| **Operating Activities** | | | | | |

| Net Income | | | | | |

| D&A | | | | | |

| Change in AR | | | | | |

| Change in Inventory | | | | | |

| Change in AP | | | | | |

| **Cash from Operations** | | | | | |

| | | | | | |

| **Investing Activities** | | | | | |

| Capex | | | | | |

| **Cash from Investing** | | | | | |

| | | | | | |

| **Financing Activities** | | | | | |

| Debt Changes | | | | | |

| Dividends | | | | | |

| **Cash from Financing** | | | | | |

| | | | | | |

| **Net Change in Cash** | | | | | |

| Beginning Cash | | | | | |

| **Ending Cash** | | | | | |

---

## Key Metrics Summary

| Metric | Base | Y1 | Y2 | Y3 | Y4 | Y5 |

|--------|------|-----|-----|-----|-----|-----|

| Revenue Growth | | | | | | |

| Gross Margin | | | | | | |

| EBITDA Margin | | | | | | |

| Net Margin | | | | | | |

| ROE | | | | | | |

| Debt/Equity | | | | | | |

| FCF | | | | | | |

Tips for Better Results

  • Provide clean historical data in a consistent format
  • Be specific about growth drivers (volume vs price, organic vs acquisition)
  • Specify industry context for appropriate benchmarks
  • Ask for scenario analysis to understand range of outcomes
  • Request sensitivity tables for key assumptions

Limitations

  • Projections are only as good as the assumptions
  • Cannot model complex corporate structures
  • Does not account for one-time items automatically
  • Simplified tax calculations
  • Currency assumed constant (no FX modeling)

Built by the Claude Office Skills community. Contributions welcome!

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