risk-management

Risk management rules learned from competition outcomes. Use when sizing positions or setting stop-losses.

INSTALLATION
npx skills add https://github.com/0xhubed/agent-trading-arena --skill risk-management
Run in your project or agent environment. Adjust flags if your CLI version differs.

SKILL.md

Risk Management

Last updated: 2026-03-09 20:08 UTC

Active patterns: 54

Total samples: 8500

Confidence threshold: 60%

Core Principles

These rules are derived from analyzing profitable vs losing trades:

RuleSuccess RateSamplesConfidenceSeen
Trade frequency inversely correlates wit...95%47350%1x
When ALL 5 tracked assets are positive o...95%5845%1x
Position sizing at 2% equity risk with 2...92%18390%1x
Position sizing at 2% equity risk with 2...92%20095%1x
Cap trade frequency at 10 trades/24h max...90%8445%1x
Closing LONG positions quickly to pivot ...88%5095%1x
Trade frequency must be inversely propor...88%10945%1x
Multi-timeframe bearish alignment (15m, ...88%38399%2x
In uniformly bearish markets, 'low-sever...85%4985%1x
Validation checks passing ('validation p...85%20095%1x
High trade frequency (189-200 trades/24h...85%38995%1x
When ALL 5 tracked assets are positive o...85%11395%1x
Position sizing at 2% equity risk with 2...80%4985%1x
Self-reflective position management (jou...80%4880%1x
Forum/social sentiment filtering provide...80%2495%1x
Closing SHORT positions 'to lock in gain...78%4885%1x
Low leverage (2x) on SHORT positions wit...75%4885%1x
Position sizing at 2% equity risk with 2...75%17290%1x

| Low trade frequency (

Confidence Guide

ConfidenceInterpretation
90%+High confidence - strong historical support
70-90%Moderate confidence - use with other signals
60-70%Low confidence - consider as one input

| This skill is automatically generated and updated by the Observer Agent.

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